recession - Aliff Capital

Debt Ceiling Crisis: Washington Teeters on the Brink

May 22, 2023Haroon HaiderEconomyagreement, bipartisan negotiations, bipartisan talks, compromise, Congress, deadlock, Debt Ceiling, debt ceiling crisis, debt limit, default, Democrats, economy, financial obligations, interest rates, job losses, legislative days, meeting, military spending, negotiations, optimism, political standoff, President Biden, recession, Republicans, resolution, Speaker Kevin McCarthy, spending cuts, spending limits, taxes, Treasury Department, Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen, Washington, White House

The nation holds its breath as Washington remains locked in a tense debt ceiling crisis, threatening to plunge the United States into economic turmoil. With the current debt ceiling set at a staggering $31.4 trillion, the Treasury Department warns that it will exhaust its funds on June 1, 2023, potentially forcing the nation into default.…

The Economic Climate: A Recap of Recent Events

Mar 12, 2023Haroon Haider1 CommentEconomybank stocks, bond markets, business fixed investment, consumer spending, core PCE inflation, crypto market, data analysis, employment, Fed tightening, Federal Reserve, financial language, housing services inflation, inflation, interest rates, job gains, labor market conditions, M2 money supply, manufacturing production, mortgage demand, nominal wage gains, personal consumption expenditures, productivity, real gross domestic product, recession, Silicon Valley Bank, stock markets, supply chain bottlenecks, U.S. economy, unemployment insurance claims, unemployment rate

The current economic climate is characterized by uncertainty and inconclusive data. The Federal Reserve is trying to control inflation, but it remains at an intolerably high level, and the stock and bond markets are fluctuating. Although the labor market is tight, growth is slowing, and the housing market is weakening. Over the last week, the…

U.S. Rental Market Trends in February 2023

Feb 25, 2023Haroon HaiderHousing Market, Real Estateapartment rents, Bureau of Labor Statistics, consumer-price index, discounts, geographic trends, housing affordability, inflation, inflation estimates, interest rates, market measures, median rent, Midwest, national rent index, Northeast, Property owners, recession, rent growth, rent prices, rental market, renters, South, supply constraints, US economy, vacancy index, Western region

The U.S. rental market is showing signs of cooling off, with a decline in the growth rate of apartment rents and an increase in rental discounts in select metro areas. This trend could help make housing more affordable for renters and ease the rise in overall inflation. However, the rental market is not operating in…

Stock Market Trends in February 2023

Feb 25, 2023Haroon HaiderEconomy, Equity Research, Investment Research2023, cash, Corporate America, Dow Jones, Earnings Contraction, Earnings Yield, economic growth, FED, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates, NASDAQ, PEG Ratio, Personal Consumption Expenditure, Rate Hike, recession, Russell 2000, S&P 500, Savings Rate, Stimulus, Stock Market Trends, Valuations

Stock Market Trends, as we are ending February 2023, shows that investors are facing an uncertain market environment, with rising interest rates and economic uncertainty likely to lead to a recession in the first half of the year. This article will explore the current state of the stock market, including the recent inflation spike and…

US Housing Market Trends in 2023, Challenges, and Predictions

Feb 25, 2023Haroon HaiderHousing Market, Real Estateaffordable housing, bidding wars, challenges, concessions, economic uncertainties, existing home sales, Federal Reserve, Gen Z, home prices, housing activity, market value, millennials, Mortgage applications, mortgage delinquency rate, mortgage rates, new home sales, pandemic, predictions, recession, rent prices, rising interest rates, supertanker, Trends, US housing market

The US housing market is facing numerous challenges in 2023, including rising interest rates, economic uncertainties, and declining home prices. Despite these challenges, there are some positive indicators such as the increase in new home sales and the slowing down of rent growth in some areas. It is essential to keep in mind that the…

Interest Rate Hikes: What You Need to Know

Feb 22, 2023Juliya RostovaEconomybenchmark interest rate, economy, FED, Fed minutes, Fed officials, fed-funds rate, Federal Reserve, financial crisis, inflation, interest rates, Jay Powell, market, monetary policy, Open Market Operations, PCE inflation, projections, Quantitative Easing, rate hikes, recession, Reserve Requirements, Taylor Rule, unemployment

Interest rate hike over the past 12 months, has taken interest rates to 4.5 percentage points, marking the most rapid adjustment in interest rates since the 1980s. It is widely anticipated that the FED will enact another quarter-percentage-point increase to the interest rates in March. The Fed officials have projected that the unemployment rate would…

Gains in the Stock Market as CPI Data Expectations Point to Lower Inflation

Feb 13, 2023Haroon HaiderEconomy, Labor economics, Macroeconomicsautos, benchmark rate, companies, consumer spending, consumer-price index, consumer-price index report, economists, economy, employers, energy, Fed policy, Federal Reserve, federal-funds rate, forecasters, health, hiring, household income, housing, index, inflation, investment, job openings, Labor Department, manufacturing, recession, retail sales, S&P 500, sectors, soft landing, spending, Stocks, traders, U.S. consumer, unemployment rate, wage growth, workers

The stock market saw broad-based gains this week as it continued to recoup losses from the previous weeks. The S&P 500 index saw gains across various sectors, with energy being the biggest gainer in Monday’s trading. Traders were optimistic about the latest read on inflation, as the consumer-price index data released on Tuesday showed a…

U.S. Hiring Spree Continues

Feb 9, 2023Haroon HaiderEconomy, Labor economics, Technologybenchmark interest rate, central bank, consumer spending, economists, economy, economy slowdown, employers, everyday services, Fed officials, federal benefits, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Chair, forecasters, hiring, hiring strategies, inflation, interest rates, job applicants, job candidates, job market, job seekers, jobs report, labor data, labor force, labor market, opportunities, payrolls, private-sector payrolls, recession, recruitment, rising interest rates, technology, U.S., unemployment rate, wage growth, work from home

U.S. Hiring Spree Continues, and the U.S. has added 1.1 million jobs in the past three months and stepped up hiring in January, despite rising interest rates, elevated inflation, and lingering recession fears. This growth is being driven by large, yet often overlooked sectors of the economy, such as restaurants, hospitals, nursing homes, and child-care…