02 Phase 2 of 9

AI-Powered Pwin Calculation & Strategic Assessment

Make confident bid decisions in minutes, not days. Our ML-powered Pwin model analyzes 20+ factors across Federal, State, and Local opportunities to deliver accurate win probability assessments and automated go/no-go recommendations.

92%
Accuracy
15min
vs 2 Days
20+
Factors Analyzed
$2.3M
Avg Cost Saved/Year

The Pwin Model

20+ factors weighted and analyzed by machine learning to predict your probability of winning

Key Factors in Pwin Calculation

Strategic Fit 15%
Past Performance 20%
Technical Capability 18%
Price Competitiveness 12%
Incumbent Status 10%
Customer Relationship 10%
Competitive Landscape 8%
Resource Availability 7%

Calculated Pwin

67%

Based on current opportunity data

Strategic Assessment Engine

Four integrated analysis modules for comprehensive bid decisions

Pwin Model (20+ Factors)

Machine learning model trained on 1,000+ historical Federal, State, and Local bids to predict win probability with 92% accuracy.

  • 20+ weighted factors
  • Continuous model improvement
  • Confidence interval scoring
  • Sensitivity analysis

Strategic Fit Analysis

Evaluate alignment with your company's strategic objectives, core capabilities, and growth targets.

  • Strategic objective mapping
  • Capability gap identification
  • Market expansion assessment
  • Long-term value calculation

Resource Requirements

Calculate the full cost of pursuing: B&P investment, staffing needs, teaming costs, and resource allocation.

  • B&P cost estimation
  • Staffing requirement analysis
  • Teaming partner identification
  • ROI projection (3-year)

Auto Go/No-Go

Automated decision recommendations based on your configured thresholds and business rules.

  • Customizable decision thresholds
  • Risk-adjusted recommendations
  • Override explanation required
  • Executive summary generation

Automated Decision Framework

Clear, data-driven recommendations: GO or NO-GO

GO Decision

Pursue this opportunity

Criteria:
  • Pwin ≥ 50%
  • Strategic fit score ≥ 70
  • Resources available
  • Positive 3-year ROI

NO-GO Decision

Pass on this opportunity

Criteria:
  • Pwin < 35%
  • Poor strategic fit (<50)
  • Insufficient resources
  • Negative or low ROI

Gray Zone (35-50% Pwin): Detailed review required. AI provides analysis, but leadership makes final call based on strategic considerations.

Real-World Impact

How Phase 2 transforms your bid decisions

Speed to Decision

Before: 2-day bid/no-bid meetings with 8 stakeholders, endless debate, delayed decisions.

After: 15-minute review of AI analysis. 95% faster decisions.

Win Rate Improvement

Before: Industry-level performance (~4% win rate) and chasing too many marginal opportunities.

After: ~22% win rate by focusing on high-Pwin opportunities and qualified bids. 5.5x improvement.

Cost Avoidance

Before: $2.3M/year wasted on losing bids (15 no-bid decisions made too late).

After: Save $2.3M by making no-go decisions in Phase 2. 100% cost avoidance.

Phase 2 Value in the BD Process

How Bid/No-Bid Decision multiplies your business development effectiveness

Time Impact

6hrs → 8min

Generates Pwin analysis in 8 minutes vs 6 hours of manual evaluation and stakeholder meetings

Quality Impact

67% Fewer Bad Bids

Data-driven GO/NO-GO framework eliminates gut-feel decisions and marginal pursuits

Revenue Impact

3.2x Portfolio ROI

Focus resources on high-Pwin opportunities - improves win rate from 4% to 22%

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Phase 2 of 9
Next: Capture Planning